Every time a political meeting draws near between figures like U.S. President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, I find myself asking the same question: Are we witnessing a routine political move, or a pivotal moment in the region’s ongoing conflicts?
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This time, in particular, the upcoming meeting between the two men—expected next week—seems to go beyond media theatrics or mere rapprochement. What is being prepared behind the scenes of this meeting extends far beyond Gaza; it touches on the future of the confrontation with Iran and the restructuring of the Syrian scene through what appear to be major geopolitical bargains.
For weeks, I’ve been closely monitoring Tel Aviv’s fluctuating stance between de-escalation and escalation. Notably, the Israeli mood appears increasingly inclined toward military resolution, especially following its open confrontation with Iran. In my view, Israel will not let that clash pass without a more impactful response—not necessarily a large-scale strike that could ignite a regional war, but through precise, calculated operations that would weaken Tehran’s capabilities and redraw red lines. I am almost certain that Trump, with his aggressive political nature, will not oppose this direction; rather, he will provide it with the cover it needs.
What grabs my attention even more is the growing discussion around Syria. Talk is beginning to circulate within regional decision-making circles about a different kind of deal: a peace treaty between Syria and "Israel" in exchange for a full lifting of sanctions on Damascus. In my opinion, what once seemed far-fetched is now increasingly plausible. Given Syria’s crushing economic crisis and the waning of Iranian influence in the region, Moscow could play a new mediating role—provided its interests in Syria and the broader region are secured.
Some may see this notion as far-fetched, but I believe that Middle Eastern politics is used to forging grand bargains in times of exhaustion—when parties become willing to make concessions that were once unthinkable. I believe Syria may be approaching such a moment regarding the issue of peace, which could offer a glimpse of hope to break free from a crisis it has been trapped in for years.
From this perspective, I see the upcoming Trump-Netanyahu meeting as one that will go beyond Gaza, diving directly into the Iran file, Syria, and perhaps even the future of the rules of engagement in Lebanon. The coming days will reveal whether we are on the brink of a new military escalation against Tehran, or on the verge of major understandings that will reshape the regional balance of power.
In either case, I believe the Middle East is heading toward a critical turning point—where the logic of power intersects with strategic calculations, and where the outcome of upcoming unannounced meetings will determine the fate of wars and crises that have persisted for years.
